{"id":7595,"date":"2012-06-01T00:00:11","date_gmt":"2012-06-01T08:00:11","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/stormbruiser.com\/chase\/?p=7595"},"modified":"2012-10-15T19:30:31","modified_gmt":"2012-10-16T03:30:31","slug":"june-1-2012-nw-tx-ph-supercell","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"http:\/\/stormbruiser.com\/chase\/2012\/06\/01\/june-1-2012-nw-tx-ph-supercell\/","title":{"rendered":"June 1, 2012 NW TX PH supercell"},"content":{"rendered":"

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I almost put a question mark after “supercell” up there in the title, as the storm that we viewed fell a bit short in terms of structure and expectations.\u00a0 But, it showed enough organization and it persisted long enough to attain “supercell” status, I suppose.<\/p>\n

We started out of Marfa by mid-morning and made a beeline north.\u00a0 SPC painted a slight risk for the TX Panhandle (and later northeast NM), having this to say at 1630Z:<\/p>\n

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   ...SWRN KS\/TX AND OK PANHANDLES...\r\n   NORTHWEST FLOW WILL BE IN PLACE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS TODAY WITH\r\n   SEVERAL SUBTLE IMPULSES MOVING SEWD ACROSS THE REGION. MESOANALYSIS\r\n   ALREADY SHOWS AN AXIS OF MODERATE INSTABILITY IN PLACE ACROSS ERN\r\n   NM. AS THE INSTABILITY AXIS SHIFTS EWD INTO WEST TX THIS\r\n   AFTERNOON...STRONG INSTABILITY SHOULD DEVELOP AS THE CAPPING\r\n   INVERSION WEAKENS. THIS SHOULD ALLOW FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM\r\n   DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE TX PANHANDLE WITH THIS CONVECTION GRADUALLY\r\n   MOVING SEWD INTO NORTHWEST TX EARLY THIS EVENING. FORECAST SOUNDINGS\r\n   AT AMARILLO AT 02\/00Z SHOW 0-6 KM SHEAR IN THE 40 TO 50 KT RANGE\r\n   WITH MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES APPROACHING 8.0 C\/KM. THIS SHOULD SUPPORT\r\n   A SUPERCELL AND LARGE HAIL THREAT. HOWEVER...LARGE TEMP-DEWPOINT\r\n   SPREADS MAY ALSO HELP ENHANCE DOWNDRAFT SPEEDS SUGGESTING A WIND\r\n   DAMAGE THREAT WILL ALSO EXIST ESPECIALLY IF THE STORMS CAN CONGEAL\r\n   INTO A LINE EARLY THIS EVENING.<\/pre>\n
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A bit later, around lunch time, I ruminated:<\/p>\n
Shear and CAPE look pretty good today, as noted by Paul and Joel. The best dew points are currently hugging the TX\/NM border south of I-40, so I am inclined to favor the western TX PH or perhaps even the area closer to the surface low, about Tucumcari to Clayton. The upper flow improves towards the OK PH, so I think north of I-40 will be better than south of I-40. Since we began today in Marfa, we will likely head north up 214 to Muleshoe and eventually I-40. If dews can remain in the mid-upper 50s this afternoon in extreme northeast NM, then I’ll be looking for spinning updraft in that area towards sunset.<\/em><\/p>\n
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Tornado prospects were minimal, just 2 percent.\u00a0 We reached I-40 at Adrian (417 miles from Marfa!) and could see some development to the north, towards Dalhart, so we had a target to go after.\u00a0 We headed up 385 from Vega and then west out of Channing on FM 767.\u00a0 A fairly nice storm cell was headed south towards FM 767 some 20-25 miles west of Channing, in the midst of the road hole of Oldham and Hartley counties.\u00a0 The cell seemed to wrap up a bit as it crossed 767 just to our east.\u00a0 The base was rather high and the storm was outflowish, with areas of blowing dust near the updraft base.\u00a0 As the cell continued south or SSE, we were forced back east all the way to Channing and got way out of position.\u00a0 It didn’t matter too much, as the storm became less organized and weakened.\u00a0 At Vega we stopped for a pretty sunset with occasional CGs to try to photograph.\u00a0 The tour overnighted in Vega, and headed to OKC to drop off the T4 guests on the 2nd.<\/p>\n
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\"\"<\/a>\"\"<\/a>\"\"<\/a>\"\"<\/a>\"\"<\/a>\"\"<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
  I almost put a question mark after “supercell” up there in the title, as the storm that we viewed fell a bit short in… [Read More]<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_genesis_hide_title":false,"_genesis_hide_breadcrumbs":false,"_genesis_hide_singular_image":false,"_genesis_hide_footer_widgets":false,"_genesis_custom_body_class":"","_genesis_custom_post_class":"","_genesis_layout":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[48,16,11],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-7595","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","6":"category-48","7":"category-lightning","8":"category-supercells","9":"entry","10":"has-post-thumbnail"},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"http:\/\/stormbruiser.com\/chase\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7595","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"http:\/\/stormbruiser.com\/chase\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"http:\/\/stormbruiser.com\/chase\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/stormbruiser.com\/chase\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/3"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/stormbruiser.com\/chase\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=7595"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"http:\/\/stormbruiser.com\/chase\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7595\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":7606,"href":"http:\/\/stormbruiser.com\/chase\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/7595\/revisions\/7606"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"http:\/\/stormbruiser.com\/chase\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=7595"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/stormbruiser.com\/chase\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=7595"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"http:\/\/stormbruiser.com\/chase\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=7595"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}