{"id":20834,"date":"2018-06-12T00:00:55","date_gmt":"2018-06-12T08:00:55","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/stormbruiser.com\/chase\/?p=20834"},"modified":"2018-07-23T14:46:25","modified_gmt":"2018-07-23T22:46:25","slug":"june-12-2018-lp-supercell-near-hugo-colorado","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stormbruiser.com\/chase\/2018\/06\/12\/june-12-2018-lp-supercell-near-hugo-colorado\/","title":{"rendered":"June 12, 2018 LP Supercell near Hugo, Colorado"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Start: \u00a0Castle Rock, CO<\/p>\n

Lunch: \u00a0Colorado Springs\/Rudy’s BBQ<\/p>\n

Burlington, CO<\/p>\n

SPC Day One outlook (20Z)<\/a><\/p>\n

SPC Mesoscale Discussion 714<\/a><\/p>\n

SPC Mesoscale Discussion 716<\/a><\/p>\n

Storm Reports<\/a><\/p>\n

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The target area for this chase day was not particularly clear-cut for me. \u00a0SPC had their slight risk down towards southeastern Colorado and the Oklahoma Panhandle and vicinity. \u00a0We were along the Colorado Front Range at Castle Rock. \u00a0 I preferred the upslope play south of I-70 in eastern Colorado, as overall tornado and isolated supercell prospects did not appear to any better near the Panhandles. \u00a0(Temperature\/dew point spreads were exceedingly large around that surface low in the OK Panhandle, and I did not like the anti-cyclonic curvature in the 500 mb flow around there, either! \u00a0See the weather maps provided by SPC in the MDs above.)<\/p>\n

After a yummy lunch in Colorado Springs, we headed east and south to Cheraw and Las Animas along the Arkansas River. \u00a0From here we had a look at a decent updraft or two to our south, on the Raton Mesa. \u00a0 That activity was not in my target area. \u00a0The better air and better overall instability\/shear combo was around Lamar, at least in the forecast thinking towards sunset. \u00a0Hailstorms in the Panhandles were too distant to consider. \u00a0Here, near Las Animas, the air was rather warm and the chances for initiation nearby were bleak. \u00a0I was reluctant to head farther south to the so-so looking storms in the road-poor NM\/CO border area. \u00a0The models indicated some late-day supercell prospects back to our NNW, off of the Palmer Divide. \u00a0Moisture there was adequate, and shear and instability were a little more-than-adequate around Lincoln County. \u00a0We turned around at Las Animas and went back west and north on 71 towards Punkin Center.<\/p>\n

A storm developed west or southwest of Limon and moved slowly towards 71. \u00a0We easily made our way in front of this high-based cell, and it struggled to organize much.<\/p>\n

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We stayed east of it by heading east on the road from 71 to Hugo. \u00a0The storm still looked promising when we began this move, but it was a quickly-fizzling mushball when we looked again at Hugo. \u00a0This gave us a chance for a pit stop in town. \u00a0In the meantime, the old updraft was starting to crank again, just west of 287 and southwest of Hugo. We remained on the north side of the updraft as it drifted slowly southeastward in the light of the setting sun. \u00a0The lower portions of the high-based updraft spun hard, but low-level moisture was much too sparse for a tornado.<\/p>\n

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