{"id":27472,"date":"2020-05-24T00:00:39","date_gmt":"2020-05-24T08:00:39","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/stormbruiser.com\/chase\/?p=27472"},"modified":"2020-10-10T17:10:06","modified_gmt":"2020-10-11T01:10:06","slug":"may-24-2020-baca-county-dusty-thunderstorm","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/stormbruiser.com\/chase\/2020\/05\/24\/may-24-2020-baca-county-dusty-thunderstorm\/","title":{"rendered":"May 24, 2020 Baca County Dusty Thunderstorm"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Start: \u00a0Holyoke, CO<\/p>\n

Lunch: \u00a0Cheyenne Wells\/Chesters<\/p>\n

End: \u00a0Hugoton, KS<\/p>\n

432 miles<\/p>\n

SPC Day One\/20Z<\/a><\/p>\n

SPC Mesoscale Discussion 705<\/a>\u00a0 \u00a0SPC Mesoscale Discussion 706<\/a><\/p>\n

SPC Mesoscale Discussion 708<\/a>\u00a0 \u00a0SPC Mesoscale Discussion 711<\/a><\/p>\n

SPC Mesoscale Discussion 714<\/a>\u00a0 \u00a0SPC Mesoscale Discussion 716<\/a><\/p>\n

SPC Mesoscale Discussion 718<\/a><\/p>\n

Storm Reports<\/a><\/p>\n

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6 p.m. MDT\/00Z surface map<\/p>\n

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SPC showed a slight risk for severe along a front through central Kansas and into the Panhandles. \u00a0The better hail and tornado risks (only 2% for tornado) were in central KS, from about Dodge to Russell. \u00a0Dew points would be in the mid 60s and the wind would be nicely backed by late afternoon. \u00a0So, I elected to play the post-frontal upslope regime in extreme southeastern Colorado (which also had a slight risk). \u00a0Why there? \u00a0Well, I think the main reason was that the central Kansas play was just not showing enough of a tornado risk. \u00a0The overall shear was better in southeastern CO, and perhaps I felt that the KS play would wind up a late and linear junk-fest. \u00a0I went for the almost “sure-bet” severe storm play, and we ventured west out of Springfield to just north of Kim to watch the first development to our southwest and west.<\/p>\n

The images below are the first half of the chase, from about Kim to near Campo on U.S. 287 (or extreme eastern Las Animas County and the western half of Baca County, approximately, via 160, Road W, Road 17, and east on Road M). \u00a0A rotating updraft developed fairly early on, a little south of Kim (to our south). \u00a0Its base showed a shallow wall could for a bit. \u00a0It sported additional lowerings, and we permitted it to hail on us along 160. \u00a0We scooted south a bit to get east of it, along Road M in Baca County. \u00a0The storm showed good structure and teased us a little more with the lowerings, but it didn’t try REALLY hard to produce a tornado. \u00a0The NE to NNE low-level flow was not very conducive for that.<\/p>\n

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